Sunday, September 29, 2013

Leveling Global Aviation


Leveling Global Aviation

 

It is clear from the various articles that have been published, that Boeing is creating a buzz by pointing out the up and coming shortage in the amount of pilots that will be trained to fly all of the planes Boeing is looking to sell through 2023. To understand why pointing this out benefits Boeing you first need to read between the lines. Why create a buzz that concentrates on a “pilot shortage?” Why point out the obvious increase in Countries other than the US as the major purchasers?

One reason is if China, India and Europe make up the bulk of who is providing Boeing with these new orders, then why would Boeing stimulated articles in United States newspapers concentrate so heavily on the shortage. Yes, we are a competitive nation, and always have been, and the thought of China growing their air fleet could stimulate purchases from United States based passenger airlines, as well as cargo shippers in order to stay competitive. But, it also gets people thinking about how to put together creative funding to train the pilots needed to feed the plane purchasing. Creative funding by collectively uniting private airlines to help provide adequate, and affordable pilot training, possibly coupled with funding from the federal government in the form of grants or low interest loans. Why not try to manipulate the world’s leading service and technical nation and economy into funding a pilot producing tank which would continue to support future sales for Boeing without ever having to contribute a dollar to the process.

The second question is why are these countries buying so many aircraft over the next ten years? Also what has changed in the world markets that the US does not lead in that buying frenzy?  To understand that you need to compare who the US exports to most frequently, what we export, and from where those exports originate, against countries like China and India. The US exports most to Canada and Mexico. And, the largest commodities exported are food and automotive parts. Since all of our Automotive manufacturers are in Michigan, which is at the doorstep of Canada who is the largest purchaser of those parts. Trucking, combined with rail due to the efforts of J.B Hunt, a logistic genius, helps to make up the 72.5% of all export moves done from the United States. Shipping by water takes 5.2% and Air 15.4% leaving exporting by pipeline at 6.9%. With 72.5% exporting done by truck and rail it tells us that the United States has one of the most complex and connected rail systems in the world. China has failed to reach a deal on their railway link for years and the rail systems in India and the Arab nations virtually non-existent. Since these traditionally under developed countries have begun to become players in the export business in recent years, and their markets continue to grow, they need additional aircraft to support that growth. That fact due mainly to Chinas largest purchaser of the exports being the United States which is a 10,000 to over 11,000 mile trip depending on the origination city and India’s largest purchaser of exports being the Arab United Nation which is also over 1400 miles per trip. The obvious reason for personal aircraft purchases in those countries would be as more of these exports are made and bought, the workers can afford to travel.

As previously mentioned, Boeing, as many companies often do, will pitch one customer against the other to stimulate sales. By pointing out to United States based airline companies that their major competitor is buying and growing their fleet with new, fuel efficient aircraft will stimulate U.S. airlines to replace their aging, less fuel efficient fleets.

 

Works Cited

Burnson, P. (May 1, 2011). Top 20 U.S. ports: where’s the money? Retrieved from


International Trade Administration. (February 11,2009) U.S. export fact sheet. Retrieved from


International Trade Administration. (February 8, 2013).  U.S. export fact sheet.  Retrieved from


NG, J. (August 23, 2013). Chinese airlines lure pilots with double the pay of U.S. captains. Retrieved


CAPA. (August 30,2013). CAPA global aviation industry outlook 2013 - pursuing certainty in an   
     uncertain world - Part 2. Retrieved from http://centreforaviation.com/analysis/capa-global-
     aviation-industry-outlook-2013---pursuing-certainty-in-an-uncertain-world---part-2-104436

The logistics and transportation industry in the United States. Retrieved from




1 comment:

  1. You bring up and interesting point of view that I had never thought about before. From Boeing's perspective, it would make perfect sense to attempt to make the U.S. feel inferior to some of these other rapidly growing nations in order to generate sales. However, with profit margins as slim as they are for U.S. airlines, would they really be able to play into this strategy and increase orders domestically for new aircraft? Interesting topic!

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