Sunday, September 29, 2013

Leveling Global Aviation


Leveling Global Aviation

 

It is clear from the various articles that have been published, that Boeing is creating a buzz by pointing out the up and coming shortage in the amount of pilots that will be trained to fly all of the planes Boeing is looking to sell through 2023. To understand why pointing this out benefits Boeing you first need to read between the lines. Why create a buzz that concentrates on a “pilot shortage?” Why point out the obvious increase in Countries other than the US as the major purchasers?

One reason is if China, India and Europe make up the bulk of who is providing Boeing with these new orders, then why would Boeing stimulated articles in United States newspapers concentrate so heavily on the shortage. Yes, we are a competitive nation, and always have been, and the thought of China growing their air fleet could stimulate purchases from United States based passenger airlines, as well as cargo shippers in order to stay competitive. But, it also gets people thinking about how to put together creative funding to train the pilots needed to feed the plane purchasing. Creative funding by collectively uniting private airlines to help provide adequate, and affordable pilot training, possibly coupled with funding from the federal government in the form of grants or low interest loans. Why not try to manipulate the world’s leading service and technical nation and economy into funding a pilot producing tank which would continue to support future sales for Boeing without ever having to contribute a dollar to the process.

The second question is why are these countries buying so many aircraft over the next ten years? Also what has changed in the world markets that the US does not lead in that buying frenzy?  To understand that you need to compare who the US exports to most frequently, what we export, and from where those exports originate, against countries like China and India. The US exports most to Canada and Mexico. And, the largest commodities exported are food and automotive parts. Since all of our Automotive manufacturers are in Michigan, which is at the doorstep of Canada who is the largest purchaser of those parts. Trucking, combined with rail due to the efforts of J.B Hunt, a logistic genius, helps to make up the 72.5% of all export moves done from the United States. Shipping by water takes 5.2% and Air 15.4% leaving exporting by pipeline at 6.9%. With 72.5% exporting done by truck and rail it tells us that the United States has one of the most complex and connected rail systems in the world. China has failed to reach a deal on their railway link for years and the rail systems in India and the Arab nations virtually non-existent. Since these traditionally under developed countries have begun to become players in the export business in recent years, and their markets continue to grow, they need additional aircraft to support that growth. That fact due mainly to Chinas largest purchaser of the exports being the United States which is a 10,000 to over 11,000 mile trip depending on the origination city and India’s largest purchaser of exports being the Arab United Nation which is also over 1400 miles per trip. The obvious reason for personal aircraft purchases in those countries would be as more of these exports are made and bought, the workers can afford to travel.

As previously mentioned, Boeing, as many companies often do, will pitch one customer against the other to stimulate sales. By pointing out to United States based airline companies that their major competitor is buying and growing their fleet with new, fuel efficient aircraft will stimulate U.S. airlines to replace their aging, less fuel efficient fleets.

 

Works Cited

Burnson, P. (May 1, 2011). Top 20 U.S. ports: where’s the money? Retrieved from


International Trade Administration. (February 11,2009) U.S. export fact sheet. Retrieved from


International Trade Administration. (February 8, 2013).  U.S. export fact sheet.  Retrieved from


NG, J. (August 23, 2013). Chinese airlines lure pilots with double the pay of U.S. captains. Retrieved


CAPA. (August 30,2013). CAPA global aviation industry outlook 2013 - pursuing certainty in an   
     uncertain world - Part 2. Retrieved from http://centreforaviation.com/analysis/capa-global-
     aviation-industry-outlook-2013---pursuing-certainty-in-an-uncertain-world---part-2-104436

The logistics and transportation industry in the United States. Retrieved from




Sunday, September 22, 2013

Pilot Shortage?


Is there a pilot shortage in the near future? Some aviation enthusiasts believe that there is going to be a great demand for pilots. There are a few reasons as to why this could happen. First, there is going to be many pilots reaching the sixty five year old retirement rule all around the same time. With this happening it is going to create many jobs among the commercial and regional airline companies. With pilots moving from the regional airlines to the commercial airlines there will be shortage on the regional level. The regional pilots will have to start looking for new young pilots to take the low paying positions. However, there is another issue that has been just put into effect. The FAA just past a regulation that will require airline companies to only hire pilots with a minimum of fifteen hundred hours. This regulation will add to the pilot shortage. It will take a while for the first wave of young pilots to gain the fifteen hundred hours. Once they finally begin to gain enough hours the shortage should start to subside.

Aviation is very important to society. Thousands and thousands of flight each day travel to worldwide destinations. A pilot shortage will not just hurt the United States, but the world aviation community as a whole. Many countries already recruit young pilots from the U.S. as it is. If more and more pilots begin to take jobs overseas because of better pay or the sole fact that it is easier to get a job, then the U.S. regional carriers could potentially suffer even more. Countries such as China are in high demand for pilots. With their giant population continuing to grow, aviation in that part of the world continues to thrive and grow daily. According to Boeing, “the only part of the world where aviation is not rapidly growing is Europe.” With aviation growing in the way it is a pilot shortage is very possible.

Boeing also suggests that there are companies expanding and purchasing new aircraft. There will need to be about 25,000 pilots hired each year to support the growth of commercial aviation.  Along with the previously identified issues such as retirement and hour regulations, Boeing believes that the cause of this is airlines changing to single isle aircraft. Airline companies add new aircraft and usually do not initially get rid of older ones. This causes the need for more pilots to fly the new aircraft added to their fleets.

Commercial aviation in the United States is going to have to come to its senses and figure out a way to retain its own pilots. Countries such as China are going to have success in luring pilots overseas if they can offer a much higher salary. Regional carriers are also going to have to figure out a way to bring pilots into their systems. Ways they could recruit pilots could be either offering a higher salary, or possibly helping young pilots with the expense of gaining hours. The next few years could be a trying time for the aviation industry in the U.S., but I believe the airline companies will be able to keep growing and move forward.

Trajos, Nancy. "Airlines Face a Pilot Shortage, Boeing Report Says." USA Today. Gannett, 29 Aug.
             2013. Web. 22 Sept. 2013.


"Ace's Blog." IMPENDING PILOT SHORTAGE MYTH OR REALITY Comments. The Rogue Aviator, 2 May

2013. Web. 22 Sept. 2013.


 

Schaal, Dennis. "Regional Airlines’ Pilot Shortage Is Heading Toward the Perfect Storm." Skift. N.p.,
             25 Aug. 2013. Web. 22 Sept. 2013.


Ng, Jeffrey. "The Free Automatic Bibliography and Citation Generator." EasyBib. Wall Street Journal,
             23 Aug. 2013. Web. 22 Sept. 2013.

Sunday, September 15, 2013

Pilot Certification and Qualification Requirements for Air Carrier Operations


A person graduating from Eastern Michigan University looking to enter into the airline industry will need to graduate with a bachelor’s degree in aviation and comply with the requirements of code 14 of the Code of Federal Regulations. The graduate will have to hold 1000 flight hours and meet the remaining requirements of 61.160. To become a co-pilot for a passenger or cargo plane, the pilots will need a minimum of 1500 hours which is a dramatic increase from 250 hours.

One specific issue that could affect the Eastern Michigan’s flight training program with the new regulations in place would be the cost. Flight training is already expensive. With many students being on the verge of not being able to afford the flight program as it is, the university may have to find ways to help students afford the cost. Pilot trainers could become harder to come by and cost significantly more as well. As a student pilot, building hours will be the most challenging aspect to beginning your career. Many future students may have no other choice but to receive their training through the military, which could also delay their entry into the commercial field by as long as ten years. Hopefully this regulation does not scare future student pilots away or create a period of time where there becomes a severe lack of fully trained pilots. If programs like Eastern starts to lose students, they will have to find ways to recruit as well as new ways of affording the extensive training.

The potential benefits that would ensue from the new regulations could be that the pilots will be more experienced with having to log more hours than the current regulations. The FAA is trying to eliminate as many potential pilot error situations as possible. The Colgan Air flight 3407 was the basis for the change in regulations. I believe that the FAA believes by doing this there will be a reduced accident rate, while also making safety and pilot training the ultimate goals. Even though it is a dramatic increase in hours, it may help the general public feel safer when they are flying.

I think the ramifications of FAR 61.160 might affect the Regional Airlines the most. The regional airlines will have a much more difficult time finding pilots who meet the new qualifications for airline pilots. It is going to be much more expensive and take longer for new pilots to gain enough hours to become a pilot in command. Some of the Regional Airlines may get desperate and end up having to spend money on helping new/young pilots financially be able to afford to build hours. The aviation industry may have to make agreements for paying for pilot training in which the pilot then has an obligation to the company for a period of time at a reduced pay rate to pay back the training hours. These new pilot qualifications were put into place after the Colgan Air 3407 in February 2009 went down. This accident was due to pilot error. It was found that both the pilot and first officer in charge of the aircraft lacked experience flying in certain weather conditions. I believe that these provisions will help pilots gain experience and be better at their job. With that said, I also believe that the new qualifications are a little steep. I could see gradually increasing the minimum flight hour requirements, but with this regulation they are going above and beyond what may be necessary.

"Press Release – FAA Boosts Aviation Safety with New Pilot Qualification Standards." Press
     Release – FAA Boosts Aviation Safety with New Pilot Qualification Standards. N.p., n.d. Web. 15

"News." CBS New York. N.p., n.d. Web. 15 Sept. 2013.
     http://newyork.cbslocal.com/2013/07/10/faa-announces-new-requirements-for-commercial-co-    pilots/

Maxon, Terry. "FAA Will Require Airline Pilots to Have at Least 1,500 Flight Hours." Airline Biz
     Blog. N.p., 10 July 2013. Web. 15 Sept. 2013.

McClam, Erin. "FAA Toughens Requirements for Co-pilots on Commercial Flights." NBC News.
     N.p., 10 July 2013. Web. 15 Sept. 2013.
     http://usnews.nbcnews.com/_news/2013/07/10/19396425-faa-toughens-requirements-for-co-

     pilots-on-commercial-flights?lite

Sunday, September 8, 2013

Introduction


Hi, everyone.

            My name is Jeremy Osburn. I am twenty five years of age and am finally a senior at Eastern Michigan. My college career has kind of been all over the place. I started at Eastern Michigan five years ago, attended for two years and then transferred to Arizona State University. I had a great time in Arizona but ended up having to come back because the out of state tuition was expensive. With some classes that have not transferred back, it has taken me longer than I expected to graduate, but I can finally say that I will graduate in April, 2014.

            I started my college career as a flight student but ended up changing it to aviation management once I moved out to Arizona. Even though I enjoyed the flying aspect of the business, I believe that the management side suits my professional career better. I am unsure as to what exactly I want to do with my degree when I graduate. I started out wanting to become a director of an airport, which still intrigues me, but lately I have been talking to a family friend who sells corporate jets. I think it would be challenging and exciting to try and sell corporate jets to customers in the industry. A career like this would allow me to travel the world, and still be connected to the aviation industry

            I am from Monroe, MI, but currently live and work in Toledo, OH. It is a long commute to Eastern, but I only have to make the drive two days a week. Living in Toledo allows me to be close to work, friends, family, and I have also found a coaching job at the High School I graduated from. I coach the varsity boys’ hockey team at St. Mary’s Catholic Central in Monroe, MI. With work, school, and coaching I am always busy, but I wouldn’t want it any other way. Coaching is something that I enjoy and hope that I am able to continue in the future.

            Once I graduate, I hope to find a job/career in something that I enjoy doing. Hopefully this senior year will provide me with a greater sense of direction as to what I need to search for to reach my long term goals. I understand that I may not find my dream job at first, but my goal is to find something that I love doing.